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Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 net revenue was $1.55B, down 7.3% year over year due to the loss of the 53rd week; comparable sales rose 0.5% YoY, and Adjusted EBITDA was $96.1M, modestly above the company’s prior outlook range .
- Gross margin improved to ~38% YoY, aided by lapping prior-year inventory impairment and initial benefits from disciplined pricing and vendor negotiations; EBITDA margin was 6.2% vs 6.3% last year .
- FY 2025 guidance targets Adjusted EBITDA of $375–$390M (+10%+ YoY) with net revenue down low single digits; Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $82–$83M (+~9% YoY at midpoint) .
- Strategic reset emphasizes gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage, ROIC discipline, services optimization, and ~20–30 net store closures in 2025; leadership highlighted self-help actions rather than relying on macro tailwinds .
- Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q4 were not available at time of writing due to an access limitation; comparisons to Street are therefore unavailable and should be updated when accessible.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EBITDA of $96.1M came in ahead of internal expectations; management underscored progress returning to retail operating excellence and structural cost-out .
- Gross margin expanded ~180 bps YoY to ~38% on lapping inventory impairment and better margin management (pricing, promotions, mix) .
- Comparable sales increased 0.5% YoY, and leadership articulated a phased plan: foundational fixes (Phase 2) progressing ahead of future revenue growth initiatives (Phase 3) .
Key quotes:
- “Our results in the fourth quarter demonstrate the progress we’ve made to return Petco to retail operating excellence…” — CEO Joel Anderson .
- “Our #1 financial priority is clear, restoring the health of our economic model…gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage and ROIC.” — CFO Sabrina Simmons .
- “We implemented thousands of price changes in the fall to be more competitive, both up and down.” — CEO Joel Anderson .
What Went Wrong
- Net revenue decreased 7.3% YoY to $1.55B, reflecting the loss of the 53rd week; Adjusted EBITDA declined YoY to $96.1M (vs $105.3M last year) .
- GAAP net loss remained negative at $(13.8)M (EPS $(0.05)); net margin was –0.9% as the turnaround continues .
- Adjusted EPS was guided for Q4 (0.00–0.02) but not disclosed in actual results, limiting comparability to prior guidance and Street framing .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Profitability (Quarterly)
Note: Q4 2024 quarter ended February 1, 2025; prior-year Q4 had 14 weeks.
Segment Net Sales Breakdown (as reported)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Versus Estimates
*Consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to an access limitation at time of writing; update pending.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Joel Anderson: “Our results in the fourth quarter demonstrate the progress we’ve made to return Petco to retail operating excellence…deliver double-digit adjusted EBITDA improvement in 2025 and set the business up for sustainable profitable growth.”
- CFO Sabrina Simmons: “Our #1 financial priority is clear, restoring the health of our economic model…gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage and ROIC…will improve profitability, and quite importantly, free cash flow generation.”
- CEO Joel Anderson: “We implemented thousands of price changes in the fall to be more competitive, both up and down…our price is in a good spot.”
Q&A Highlights
- Phase execution: Management does not foresee significant infrastructure investments before returning to growth; focus remains on disciplined execution and ROIC .
- EBITDA drivers: Largest 2025 levers are gross margin expansion and SG&A leverage; closures contributed ~1% sales decline entering 2025 from 2024 actions .
- Tariff considerations: Direct tariff exposure in own brands is ~5% of merchandise COGS; strong vendor relationships and flexible supply chain to mitigate .
- Membership & pricing: Vital Care remains strategic; pricing upgraded via thousands of changes; promotional stacking cleanup to protect margins .
- Store fleet strategy: Expect optimizing assets on balance sheet before new growth; ~20–30 closures in 2025, likely back-half weighted .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 was unavailable due to an access limitation; we will update the revenue/EPS/EBITDA comparison when accessible.*
- Near-term, Street may revisit 2025 EBITDA and margin trajectory given explicit margin-first guidance, SG&A leverage, and portfolio actions, while keeping top-line cautious (down low single digits) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The profit-improvement playbook is clear: pricing discipline, vendor negotiations, assortment optimization, SG&A leverage, and ROIC-focused capital allocation underpin margin expansion and FCF improvement .
- 2025 is a self-help year: management is not relying on macro/pet category acceleration to hit EBITDA guidance; top line guided down low single digits, with margin gains driving EPS/FCF .
- Store portfolio optimization is a material driver: closures remove drag, improve EBITDA, and support leverage reduction; expect ~20–30 net closures in 2025 .
- Services and Fresh Frozen are medium-term growth vectors: hospital utilization optimization and category leadership can aid revenue mix and margins without heavy capital .
- Watch for Vital Care and membership enhancements: membership could become a tangible growth lever in 2026 as Phase 3 initiatives scale .
- Near-term trading implications: positive if execution sustains quarterly gross margin expansion and Q1 EBITDA meets guidance; negative if price/promotional changes unduly pressure traffic or if tariff impacts materialize without vendor offsets .
- Update estimate comparisons when S&P Global data becomes accessible to calibrate beat/miss assessments for Q4 and refine 2025 expectations.*
Footnote: Q4 2024 corresponds to the 13 weeks ended February 1, 2025 per company reporting .
*Consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to an access limitation at time of writing; values will be added when accessible.