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Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 net revenue was $1.55B, down 7.3% year over year due to the loss of the 53rd week; comparable sales rose 0.5% YoY, and Adjusted EBITDA was $96.1M, modestly above the company’s prior outlook range .
  • Gross margin improved to ~38% YoY, aided by lapping prior-year inventory impairment and initial benefits from disciplined pricing and vendor negotiations; EBITDA margin was 6.2% vs 6.3% last year .
  • FY 2025 guidance targets Adjusted EBITDA of $375–$390M (+10%+ YoY) with net revenue down low single digits; Q1 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $82–$83M (+~9% YoY at midpoint) .
  • Strategic reset emphasizes gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage, ROIC discipline, services optimization, and ~20–30 net store closures in 2025; leadership highlighted self-help actions rather than relying on macro tailwinds .
  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global for Q4 were not available at time of writing due to an access limitation; comparisons to Street are therefore unavailable and should be updated when accessible.*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $96.1M came in ahead of internal expectations; management underscored progress returning to retail operating excellence and structural cost-out .
  • Gross margin expanded ~180 bps YoY to ~38% on lapping inventory impairment and better margin management (pricing, promotions, mix) .
  • Comparable sales increased 0.5% YoY, and leadership articulated a phased plan: foundational fixes (Phase 2) progressing ahead of future revenue growth initiatives (Phase 3) .

Key quotes:

  • “Our results in the fourth quarter demonstrate the progress we’ve made to return Petco to retail operating excellence…” — CEO Joel Anderson .
  • “Our #1 financial priority is clear, restoring the health of our economic model…gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage and ROIC.” — CFO Sabrina Simmons .
  • “We implemented thousands of price changes in the fall to be more competitive, both up and down.” — CEO Joel Anderson .

What Went Wrong

  • Net revenue decreased 7.3% YoY to $1.55B, reflecting the loss of the 53rd week; Adjusted EBITDA declined YoY to $96.1M (vs $105.3M last year) .
  • GAAP net loss remained negative at $(13.8)M (EPS $(0.05)); net margin was –0.9% as the turnaround continues .
  • Adjusted EPS was guided for Q4 (0.00–0.02) but not disclosed in actual results, limiting comparability to prior guidance and Street framing .

Financial Results

Income Statement and Profitability (Quarterly)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.52 $1.51 $1.55
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$(0.09) $(0.06) $(0.05)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$83.5 $81.2 $96.1
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$580.7 $575.8 $589.3
Net Income Margin %(1.6%) (1.1%) (0.9%)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %5.5% 5.4% 6.2%
Comparable Sales YoY %+0.3% +1.8% +0.5%

Note: Q4 2024 quarter ended February 1, 2025; prior-year Q4 had 14 weeks.

Segment Net Sales Breakdown (as reported)

SegmentQ2 2024 ($MM)YoY %Q3 2024 ($MM)YoY %Q4 2024 ($MM)YoY %
Products$1,263.7 (1%) $1,263.2 0% $1,310.2 (8%)
Services & Other$260.0 3% $248.2 5% $241.9 (5%)
Total Net Sales$1,523.8 (0%) $1,511.4 1% $1,552.1 (7%)

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Free Cash Flow ($MM)$42.0 $(10.3) $49.7 (FY)
Operating Cash Flow ($MM)$69.4 $20.7 $177.7 (FY)
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($MM)$127.6 $116.7 $165.8
Pet Care Centers (U.S.)1,398 (year-end)
Weighted Avg Diluted Shares (MM)273.1 274.5 276.3

Versus Estimates

MetricQ4 2024 ActualQ4 2024 ConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($B)$1.55 N/A*
EPS ($)$(0.05) N/A*
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$96.1 N/A*

*Consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to an access limitation at time of writing; update pending.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Revenue ($B)Q4 2024~$1.55B Actual $1.55B Met
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)Q4 2024$90–$95 Actual $96.1 Beat
Adjusted EPS ($)Q4 2024$0.00–$0.02 Not disclosed
Net Interest Expense ($MM)FY 2024~$145 (Q2) → ~$140 (Q3) Actual ~$144–$140 implied; 2025 guide ~$130 Lowered for FY24; Lower again for FY25
Capital Expenditures ($MM)FY 2024~$140 (Q2) → ~$130 (Q3) FY 2025: $130–$140 Maintained range
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)FY 2025$375–$390 Raised vs FY24 actual $336.5
Net RevenueFY 2025Down low single digits YoY New
D&A ($MM)FY 2025~$200 New
Real EstateFY 2025~20–30 net closures New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Retail fundamentals & margin discipline“Strengthen retail fundamentals” and profitability focus (Q2/Q3 releases) Explicit frameworks for AUC/pricing/promotions mix; margin expansion each quarter targeted More specific execution detail; margin-first discipline
SG&A leverageBroad efficiency goals SG&A leverage as a pillar; mindset shift to ongoing discipline Intensifying focus
ROIC disciplineNot emphasized earlierROIC rigor in capital allocation; ~40% of 2025 capex toward expansion/IT/digital testing New/heightened
Services optimization (vet hospitals)Services growth callouts Optimize existing hospitals to lift utilization/margins with minimal capital Execution focus
Store closuresLimited prior detail25 net closures in 2024; 20–30 planned in 2025 Proactive portfolio pruning
Merchandising & vendor negotiationsGeneral progress Vendor negotiations, assortment optimization, strategic pricing frameworks Strengthening
Tariffs/macroMacro headwinds noted Tariff exposure commentary; flexible supply chain; own-brand COGS exposure ~5% Added specificity
Membership (Vital Care)Not detailedEnhancements planned; membership a growth lever (free + paid) Positioned for future
Digital/e-commerce cost per orderNot detailedReduce split shipments, improve shipping efficiency and speed Operational improvements
Fresh Frozen categoryNot detailedHighlighted as faster-growing area and future lever Growth vector identified

Management Commentary

  • CEO Joel Anderson: “Our results in the fourth quarter demonstrate the progress we’ve made to return Petco to retail operating excellence…deliver double-digit adjusted EBITDA improvement in 2025 and set the business up for sustainable profitable growth.”
  • CFO Sabrina Simmons: “Our #1 financial priority is clear, restoring the health of our economic model…gross margin expansion, SG&A leverage and ROIC…will improve profitability, and quite importantly, free cash flow generation.”
  • CEO Joel Anderson: “We implemented thousands of price changes in the fall to be more competitive, both up and down…our price is in a good spot.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Phase execution: Management does not foresee significant infrastructure investments before returning to growth; focus remains on disciplined execution and ROIC .
  • EBITDA drivers: Largest 2025 levers are gross margin expansion and SG&A leverage; closures contributed ~1% sales decline entering 2025 from 2024 actions .
  • Tariff considerations: Direct tariff exposure in own brands is ~5% of merchandise COGS; strong vendor relationships and flexible supply chain to mitigate .
  • Membership & pricing: Vital Care remains strategic; pricing upgraded via thousands of changes; promotional stacking cleanup to protect margins .
  • Store fleet strategy: Expect optimizing assets on balance sheet before new growth; ~20–30 closures in 2025, likely back-half weighted .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 was unavailable due to an access limitation; we will update the revenue/EPS/EBITDA comparison when accessible.*
  • Near-term, Street may revisit 2025 EBITDA and margin trajectory given explicit margin-first guidance, SG&A leverage, and portfolio actions, while keeping top-line cautious (down low single digits) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The profit-improvement playbook is clear: pricing discipline, vendor negotiations, assortment optimization, SG&A leverage, and ROIC-focused capital allocation underpin margin expansion and FCF improvement .
  • 2025 is a self-help year: management is not relying on macro/pet category acceleration to hit EBITDA guidance; top line guided down low single digits, with margin gains driving EPS/FCF .
  • Store portfolio optimization is a material driver: closures remove drag, improve EBITDA, and support leverage reduction; expect ~20–30 net closures in 2025 .
  • Services and Fresh Frozen are medium-term growth vectors: hospital utilization optimization and category leadership can aid revenue mix and margins without heavy capital .
  • Watch for Vital Care and membership enhancements: membership could become a tangible growth lever in 2026 as Phase 3 initiatives scale .
  • Near-term trading implications: positive if execution sustains quarterly gross margin expansion and Q1 EBITDA meets guidance; negative if price/promotional changes unduly pressure traffic or if tariff impacts materialize without vendor offsets .
  • Update estimate comparisons when S&P Global data becomes accessible to calibrate beat/miss assessments for Q4 and refine 2025 expectations.*

Footnote: Q4 2024 corresponds to the 13 weeks ended February 1, 2025 per company reporting .

*Consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to an access limitation at time of writing; values will be added when accessible.